São Paulo RS vs Guarani RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
GEB
0 - 1
SAO
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
ECA
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
3 - 1
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GEB
1 - 3
SAO
39%
28%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
ECA
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 3
LAJ
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUA
35%
23%
43%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
3 - 1
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
LAJ
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
26%
22%
52%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -3 |