São Paulo RS vs Guarani RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 1
CRU
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GEB
1 - 0
SAO
40%
28%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
CRU
2 - 0
SAO
55%
26%
19%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 0
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 1
SGA
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
SGA
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRU
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ISM
2 - 1
GUA
33%
26%
40%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
GEB
0 - 0
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 2
LAJ
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |