São Paulo RS vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
70.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.9%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PEL
2 - 1
SAO
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
SLU
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ECS
1 - 1
SAO
65%
22%
14%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
BRA
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 4
VER
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 0
NOV
77%
17%
6%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 3
GRE
15%
24%
60%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 3
GRE
11%
21%
68%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
GRE
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |