São Paulo RS vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
RIO
53%
21%
26%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
PEL
25%
26%
50%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
ECA
1 - 0
SAO
54%
26%
21%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
SGA
3 - 0
SAO
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
FAR
54%
20%
25%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 1
MON
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 0
UHA
75%
16%
10%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
SAP
0 - 7
FAR
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 3
PEL
13%
23%
64%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | +2 |