São Paulo RS vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
ECJ
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 0
SAO
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 2
GFC
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
GEB
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 1
FAR
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FAR
0 - 3
SAO
44%
24%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 0
FAR
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GFC
4 - 1
FAR
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
FAR
2 - 1
GEB
43%
26%
32%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |