Gaucho 2 Quarter-finals
Global 7-3
São Paulo RS vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
FAR
2 - 1
SAO
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
FAR
0 - 0
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
3 - 0
ECJ
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
PEL
4 - 3
SAO
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
RIO
2 - 2
SAO
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
FAR
2 - 1
SAO
27%
24%
49%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
FAR
0 - 0
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
GEB
4 - 0
FAR
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
RIO
1 - 3
FAR
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
FAR
2 - 1
ECJ
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |