São Paulo RS vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
LAJ
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 2
BRA
15%
22%
64%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAO
87%
11%
2%
|
43 | 85 | 42 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
VER
25%
27%
49%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GEB
0 - 2
LAJ
38%
28%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
ISM
3 - 2
GEB
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
GEB
1 - 1
SGA
36%
25%
38%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
IPA
2 - 0
GEB
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
GEB
1 - 0
IPA
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |