São Paulo RS vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 2
SAO
25%
24%
50%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
IPA
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
PST
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
INT
3 - 0
SAO
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
LIN
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
GEB
1 - 0
GRE
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
GEB
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
GEB
2 - 1
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GEB
2 - 1
ECJ
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 3
GEB
56%
22%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |