São Paulo RS vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 3
GUA
54%
24%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 1
SAO
35%
25%
41%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
BRA
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 0
SAO
50%
26%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 2
ECJ
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
0 - 1
FAR
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
GEB
57%
24%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ECJ
1 - 1
GEB
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
0 - 1
GUA
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
GEB
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |