São Paulo RS vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
SAO
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
GEB
3 - 1
SAO
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 0
BRA
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
5 - 1
FAR
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 2
RIO
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GEB
1 - 0
GFC
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
GEB
3 - 1
SAO
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 0
GEB
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
GEB
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
GEB
4 - 0
FAR
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |