São Paulo RS vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
GEB
3 - 0
SAO
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
GFC
3 - 4
SAO
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 3
RIO
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
ECJ
1 - 5
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
GEB
3 - 0
SAO
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
RIO
3 - 2
GEB
46%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
GEB
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
GEB
2 - 0
ECJ
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 1
GEB
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |