São Paulo RS vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
FCP
3 - 0
SAO
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 1
RIO
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
PEL
3 - 1
SAO
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
CEF
2 - 3
SAO
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
GEB
2 - 2
ACP
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
CRU
3 - 2
GEB
30%
26%
43%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
GEB
0 - 1
PEL
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 1
GEB
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GEB
1 - 0
ECJ
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |