São Paulo RS vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 2
FAR
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CEF
1 - 1
SAO
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 12 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ISA
2 - 1
SAO
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAO
26%
24%
51%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
FAR
0 - 0
GEB
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
GEB
1 - 2
ECJ
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
GEB
0 - 1
CEF
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
RIO
0 - 0
GEB
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GEB
1 - 0
RIO
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |