São Paulo RS vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
GEB
3 - 1
SAO
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 1
RIO
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
SAO
0 - 0
PEL
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ECJ
3 - 0
SAO
14%
20%
66%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 2
FAR
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
GEB
3 - 1
SAO
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
PEL
1 - 0
GEB
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
GEB
4 - 4
ECJ
76%
14%
11%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
FAR
1 - 2
GEB
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
GEB
1 - 0
RIO
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |