São Paulo RS vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
56.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 2
CRU
29%
25%
47%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
JUV
3 - 1
SAO
63%
23%
13%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
ECA
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 4
XVD
24%
28%
48%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
OPE
3 - 1
SAO
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
CAX
2 - 1
SCI
14%
22%
64%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 5
CAX
76%
18%
6%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CAX
3 - 0
NOV
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAX
1 - 0
SCI
12%
21%
67%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 0
CAX
81%
14%
4%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |