São Paulo RS vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 1
SAO
66%
22%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
OPE
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 0
SAO
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
8%
18%
75%
|
44 | 83 | 39 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VER
1 - 1
SAO
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 1
SAO
66%
22%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 1
XVD
33%
30%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
OPE
1 - 0
BRU
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
JEC
0 - 1
BRU
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 1
INT
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |