Super Copa Gaúcha Last 16
Global 3-6
São Paulo RS vs Internacional Porto A II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 0
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GEB
0 - 0
SAO
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Internacional Porto A II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 0
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
IPA
7 - 0
GUA
63%
19%
19%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
IPA
4 - 1
GEB
48%
23%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 0
GRE
56%
21%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GEB
0 - 0
IPA
38%
23%
39%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |