São Paulo RS vs 14 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 2
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
GFC
0 - 0
SAO
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
5 - 4
RIO
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
ECA
6 - 0
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
BRA
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ECJ
1 - 0
FAR
52%
24%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
ECJ
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ECJ
0 - 0
GFC
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
CAC
2 - 0
ECJ
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
ECJ
0 - 2
RIO
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |