São Paulo RS vs 14 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
1 - 2
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
6 - 0
FAR
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
ECJ
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 0
SAO
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ECJ
1 - 1
RIO
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ECJ
3 - 1
GUA
31%
24%
46%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +4 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
ECJ
72%
18%
10%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
ECJ
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
ECJ
2 - 2
GEB
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |