São Paulo RS vs 14 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 0
SAO
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 2
GFC
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
GEB
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
GEB
3 - 0
SAO
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2010 |
ECJ
2 - 2
GEB
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 1
ECJ
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
GFC
3 - 1
ECJ
60%
21%
20%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ECJ
2 - 5
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -3 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
ECJ
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |