São Paulo RS vs 14 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
PEL
4 - 3
SAO
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
RIO
2 - 2
SAO
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 2
GEB
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
GEB
3 - 1
SAO
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 1
RIO
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
ECJ
0 - 1
GEB
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
FAR
2 - 1
ECJ
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ECJ
1 - 2
RIO
28%
25%
46%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
RIO
2 - 0
ECJ
66%
17%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ECJ
3 - 2
FAR
14%
24%
63%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +3 |