São Paulo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 1
FFL
69%
20%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
GOI
0 - 0
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2007 |
FFL
2 - 2
SAO
26%
27%
48%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 0
ATP
61%
21%
18%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2007 |
BOT
0 - 2
SAO
37%
26%
38%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 1
ATM
46%
24%
29%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 1
NAU
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2007 |
NAU
4 - 2
FFL
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
ARN
1 - 5
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 0
FLU
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |