São Paulo vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.6%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
12.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.4%
1.9%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
ONC
2 - 1
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 0
SAO
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 1
GRÊ
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ITU
0 - 1
SAO
17%
23%
61%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 0
MON
53%
26%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MON
3 - 2
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 0
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
MON
70%
18%
13%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MON
2 - 3
PAU
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
MON
2 - 2
ITU
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |