São Paulo vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SAO
54%
22%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
0 - 2
SCI
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 4
SAO
34%
26%
41%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 2
PPE
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
JUV
0 - 0
PPE
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 1
JUV
57%
24%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 1
FLU
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
ATM
2 - 1
JUV
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 0
PAY
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |