São Paulo vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GOI
0 - 4
SAO
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
SCI
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FLU
3 - 1
SAO
49%
24%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATM
36%
27%
37%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 1
VAS
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LON
0 - 2
ITU
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
SAM
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CRI
3 - 0
ITU
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ITU
2 - 1
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |