São Paulo vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAO
15%
22%
63%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAO
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 1
ABC
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAN
76%
17%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
PST
2 - 4
SAO
5%
12%
83%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 1
ITU
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ITU
0 - 1
PPE
11%
20%
70%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AUD
3 - 0
ITU
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
ITU
0 - 0
SAN
11%
21%
67%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
ITU
51%
22%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |