São Paulo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
SAO
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 2
FLA
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 1
SAO
34%
27%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
ATP
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SCI
3 - 1
SAO
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
VAS
71%
19%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ATM
0 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 2
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 4
SPO
75%
17%
9%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 1
GRE
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |