São Paulo vs Flamengo analysis

São Paulo Flamengo
88 ELO 88
-12% Tilt -7.7%
142º General ELO ranking 127º
20º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.4%
São Paulo
26.2%
Draw
31.4%
Flamengo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
São Paulo
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.4%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
São Paulo
-1%
+16%
Flamengo

Points and table prediction

São Paulo
Their league position
Flamengo
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
19º
69
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Botafogo
76
77
100%
Palmeiras
73
73
100%
Flamengo
69
70
100%
Fortaleza EC
65
68
100%
Internacional
65
65
100%
São Paulo
59
60
100%
Corinthians
53
56
100%
Bahía
50
53
100%
Cruzeiro
49
52
100%
Vasco da Gama
10º
47
50
10º
100%
Atl. Mineiro
14º
44
47
11º
0%
Vitória
11º
46
47
12º
0%
Fluminense
15º
43
46
13º
100%
Grêmio
12º
45
45
14º
0%
EC Juventude
13º
45
45
15º
0%
RB Bragantino
17º
41
44
16º
100%
Athletico Paranaense
16º
42
42
17º
100%
Criciúma
18º
38
38
18º
100%
Cuiabá
20º
30
30
19º
100%
Atlético GO
19º
30
30
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
São Paulo
Flamengo
Champion
0% 0%
CONMEBOL Libertadores
100% 100%
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
0% 0%
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

São Paulo
Flamengo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Paulo
São Paulo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2024
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 0
Goiás EC
GOI
51%
25%
23%
88 86 2 0
28 Jul. 2024
FOR
Fortaleza EC
1 - 0
São Paulo
SAO
49%
25%
27%
88 88 0 0
25 Jul. 2024
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 2
Botafogo
BOT
45%
27%
28%
88 88 0 0
21 Jul. 2024
JUV
EC Juventude
0 - 0
São Paulo
SAO
37%
26%
37%
88 86 2 0
18 Jul. 2024
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
44%
27%
29%
88 88 0 0

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 2024
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 0
Palmeiras
PAL
51%
25%
24%
88 88 0 0
28 Jul. 2024
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 0
Atlético GO
ATL
45%
25%
30%
88 88 0 0
25 Jul. 2024
VIT
Vitória
1 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
33%
26%
41%
88 84 4 0
20 Jul. 2024
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 1
Criciúma
CRI
62%
23%
16%
88 84 4 0
12 Jul. 2024
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 2
Fortaleza EC
FOR
46%
25%
28%
88 88 0 0