São Paulo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 2
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 1
SAO
48%
25%
27%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 1
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
LIG
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 1
SAO
32%
27%
42%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
GOI
0 - 0
FLA
22%
24%
54%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 1
SAO
48%
25%
27%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 3
ATP
54%
24%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 2
FLA
38%
25%
37%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 0
SCI
58%
24%
19%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |