São Paulo vs Deportes Tolima analysis

São Paulo Deportes Tolima
89 ELO 81
2.3% Tilt -7.6%
142º General ELO ranking 596º
20º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
70.2%
São Paulo
18.5%
Draw
11.2%
Deportes Tolima

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
São Paulo
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.2%
Win probability
Deportes Tolima
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
São Paulo
+4%
+9%
Deportes Tolima

ELO progression

São Paulo
Deportes Tolima
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Paulo
São Paulo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 2023
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
44%
25%
31%
89 87 2 0
02 Jun. 2023
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 3
Sport Recife
SPO
74%
17%
9%
89 81 8 0
28 May. 2023
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 1
Goiás EC
GOI
67%
20%
13%
89 81 8 0
24 May. 2023
APC
Puerto Cabello
0 - 2
São Paulo
SAO
13%
22%
64%
89 70 19 0
20 May. 2023
SAO
São Paulo
4 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
70%
19%
11%
89 78 11 0

Matches

Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2023
TIG
Tigre
0 - 0
Deportes Tolima
TOL
42%
27%
31%
82 80 2 0
18 May. 2023
TOL
Deportes Tolima
2 - 2
At. Nacional
NAC
40%
27%
33%
82 82 0 0
13 May. 2023
UNI
Unión Magdalena
1 - 1
Deportes Tolima
TOL
23%
27%
51%
82 69 13 0
07 May. 2023
TOL
Deportes Tolima
2 - 1
Alianza FC
ALI
60%
24%
16%
82 72 10 0
03 May. 2023
TOL
Deportes Tolima
0 - 0
São Paulo
SAO
22%
25%
53%
81 88 7 +1