São Paulo vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 3
SPO
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
GOI
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
APC
0 - 2
SAO
13%
22%
64%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SAO
4 - 2
VAS
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
TIG
0 - 0
TOL
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
TOL
2 - 2
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
TOL
23%
27%
51%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TOL
2 - 1
ALI
60%
24%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
TOL
0 - 0
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |