São Paulo vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
4 - 0
AVA
72%
18%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 2
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAO
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
ATL
59%
23%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 0
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
OCT
4 - 1
IVT
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LIG
2 - 2
IVT
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 0
OCT
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
IVT
2 - 0
DEL
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |