São Paulo vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
VAS
0 - 4
SAO
33%
27%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
FLU
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
ATP
2 - 1
SAO
31%
27%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
PAL
4 - 0
SAO
33%
28%
40%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
AVA
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
COT
0 - 0
PPE
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
COT
0 - 0
JEC
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 0
COT
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
COT
1 - 0
CRZ
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ATP
2 - 2
COT
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |