São Paulo vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 0
SAO
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 1
SAO
35%
28%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 3
PPE
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 1
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
COT
2 - 1
BOT
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SCI
0 - 0
COT
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
COT
1 - 2
CRI
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
COT
0 - 1
COR
42%
28%
29%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
COT
41%
27%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |