São Paulo vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.8%
4.3%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 1
FLA
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
17%
24%
59%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAL
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAO
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
CEA
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
OPE
41%
29%
29%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOT
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 3
CSA
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
AMF
1 - 1
BOT
77%
17%
6%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAM
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |