São Paulo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
SPO
76%
17%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
GOI
0 - 3
SAO
19%
24%
57%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BAH
1 - 3
SAO
32%
26%
43%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 1
SAO
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
VAS
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLA
13%
20%
67%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
ATM
2 - 1
BOT
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 2
FOR
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 2
BRA
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
BAH
1 - 0
BOT
53%
26%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |