São Paulo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
22.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2018 |
AMF
1 - 3
SAO
32%
30%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
BAH
2 - 2
SAO
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
CEN
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATM
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 1
VIT
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
AMF
1 - 0
BOT
30%
31%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLU
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 1
ACS
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BOT
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |