São Paulo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
ITU
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAO
11%
20%
69%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAO
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 2
ATM
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
BRA
72%
19%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
PPE
2 - 0
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
BOT
3 - 1
PAL
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
BRA
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
BOT
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BOT
3 - 3
FLA
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |