São Paulo vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
5 - 0
BOL
69%
20%
12%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
MIR
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
TIG
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
TIG
0 - 0
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
COR
45%
28%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 0
ATL
41%
24%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
SAO
30%
24%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
ATL
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
AUD
51%
22%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |