São Paulo vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
94.8%
Win probability
3.9
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.2%
7-0
4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
4.7%
6-0
7.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
8.6%
5-0
11%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.5%
4-0
14.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
18.1%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
4%
1%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
0.8%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 2
SAO
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
AME
0 - 2
SAO
6%
14%
80%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
POR
1 - 4
SAO
6%
14%
80%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
POR
2 - 3
SAO
23%
23%
54%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 2
RIO
53%
23%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 0
POR
38%
24%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
POR
2 - 3
ATL
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
JUV
3 - 2
ATL
49%
23%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 2
COR
14%
21%
66%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | +1 |