São Paulo vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
9%
19%
72%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
ITU
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GOI
0 - 4
SAO
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
SCI
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
BRA
14%
22%
65%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
ITU
1 - 1
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 2
BOT
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
POR
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |