São Paulo AP vs Trem DC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
55.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
MAC
3 - 1
SPM
61%
20%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2008 |
YAP
0 - 1
SPM
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
SPM
3 - 3
AMA
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
SPM
2 - 5
CRI
24%
23%
53%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2007 |
AMA
2 - 3
SPM
70%
18%
13%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Trem DC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
YAP
0 - 0
TDC
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ECM
0 - 6
TDC
27%
23%
51%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
TDC
1 - 1
SAO
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
PAR
4 - 0
TDC
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
TDC
0 - 0
PAR
10%
17%
72%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | 0 |