São Paulo AP vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 0
SPM
63%
19%
19%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SPM
1 - 1
ECM
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
TDC
5 - 2
SPM
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
YAP
3 - 4
SPM
49%
26%
25%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SPM
0 - 6
ECM
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
TDC
1 - 0
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
SEC
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
IAP
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
IAP
1 - 1
SAN
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
TDC
0 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |