São Paulo AP vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
SPM
0 - 0
TDC
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
ECM
1 - 2
SPM
65%
19%
17%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
SPM
1 - 1
ECM
27%
23%
51%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
SEC
2 - 4
SPM
46%
24%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SPM
3 - 5
YAP
25%
24%
52%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
ECM
0 - 2
SAN
43%
23%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 3
AGU
17%
23%
60%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
SEC
72%
17%
12%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |