São Paulo AP vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
TDC
1 - 0
SPM
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
SPM
0 - 1
SAO
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
CRI
2 - 1
SPM
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
SPM
1 - 2
AMA
23%
23%
55%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 3
SPM
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
72%
17%
12%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 3
AMA
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 6
TDC
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2007 |
CRI
2 - 0
SAN
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 3
SPM
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |