São Paulo AP vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2022 |
TDC
5 - 0
SPM
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SPM
1 - 2
SEC
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
IAP
3 - 0
SPM
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SPM
0 - 3
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
TDC
3 - 1
SPM
39%
26%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
ECM
1 - 1
ORC
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
ORC
1 - 6
TDC
28%
21%
50%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SEC
0 - 1
ORC
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
ORC
0 - 1
IAP
27%
22%
52%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ORC
1 - 3
GOI
5%
12%
83%
|
35 | 78 | 43 | -13 |