São Paulo AP vs Macapá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
39.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
IAP
1 - 1
SPM
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SPM
8 - 1
SEC
61%
19%
19%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
SPM
2 - 1
ECM
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
TDC
2 - 1
SPM
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPM
57%
20%
22%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
ECM
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
ECM
53%
22%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
ECM
2 - 1
TDC
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
SPM
2 - 1
ECM
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ECM
4 - 0
SEC
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |