São Paulo AP vs Macapá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
43.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
TDC
2 - 1
SPM
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPM
57%
20%
22%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
SPM
1 - 2
TDC
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
SEC
0 - 7
SPM
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
SPM
0 - 0
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ECM
4 - 0
SEC
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SEC
0 - 0
ECM
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
ECM
0 - 2
SAN
43%
23%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
TDC
3 - 2
ECM
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
ECM
1 - 2
SPM
65%
19%
17%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |