São Paulo AP vs Amapá Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
SPM
2 - 5
CRI
24%
23%
53%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2007 |
AMA
2 - 3
SPM
70%
18%
13%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
SPM
5 - 1
SAN
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
TDC
1 - 0
SPM
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
SPM
0 - 1
SAO
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Amapá Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
AMA
1 - 1
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 2
AMA
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
AMA
0 - 1
NAC
13%
20%
67%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
TUN
2 - 0
AMA
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 0
AMA
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |