São Mateus vs Remo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 1
SAO
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
DES
0 - 1
SAO
50%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 1
LIN
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 0
RIO
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
REM
3 - 1
REC
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
IND
3 - 4
REM
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PAY
1 - 1
REM
57%
21%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
REM
2 - 0
SRE
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 16 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 2
REM
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |