São Mateus vs Itapemirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 2
REA
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 2
SAO
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
DES
1 - 1
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
ECT
76%
14%
9%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
4 - 2
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ESP
2 - 2
ITA
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
4 - 0
ECT
72%
17%
12%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DOZ
0 - 2
ITA
24%
23%
52%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 0
RIO
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 1
ITA
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |